How Climate Change Is Reshaping Real Estate Prices in Coastal Cities

David Martinez | | No Comments

Key Takeaway

As a result, these made buyers, sellers, and investors think again about whether a waterfront property is truly worth the price. These have reshaped property values, insurance markets and buyer behavior. As climate change intensifies, navigating in the coastal real estate market needs having an equilibrium of location selection and resilience planning to measure climate risks. The future of real estate across coastal properties is then determined by climate resilience and traditional market fundamentals.

Imagine yourself relaxing on the beach line that you own, with a stunning ocean view and a vibrant community complemented by premium amenities at premium prices. Coastal cities indeed have their own charm in the real estate market, as they offer these services.
However, the existence of climate change has rendered the equation invalid. The rising sea levels, hurricanes, weather changes and surging insurance costs are slowly sinking in as a reality.

The Climate Risks Drive Market Changes

Climate-related threats cause challenges for coastal cities and impact their real estate value. Since 1880, sea levels have risen by about 8 to 9 inches and have even accelerated in recent decades. The result dominoes into frequent events of “sunny day” flooding, in which even when there’s no storm, there is a temporary inundation of low-lying coastal areas during high tide occurrences. This flooding inundates streets, damages foundations, and fills in drainage systems. In other neighborhoods, rare cases of flooding have become more frequent with dozens of times per year, which changes how residents live daily.
The ocean temperatures are also getting warmer, turning storms into more powerful ones and increasing hurricane intensity. Reports claim that due to these, there are catastrophic property damages and long-term economic impacts that are beyond repair. These factors, including repeated flooding that causes infrastructure degradation, disrupt local economies, and erode community stability, weigh down property values.

Insurance Costs and Property Valuations

Where is the impact of climate risk more visible than in the insurance market? Homeowners’ insurance premiums in coastal areas have skyrocketed as insurers reassess their exposure to climate-related claims. In fact, in high-risk zones, these premiums have risen by double or triple in just a few years. Some major insurers have stopped writing new policies altogether or, unfortunately, withdrawn from certain markets entirely.
In what way does the insurance crisis directly affect property valuations? When insurance becomes prohibitively expensive or unavailable, it naturally reduces the number of potential buyers who can afford to purchase and maintain the property. As mortgage lenders require insurance, they create an additional hindrance for buyers in risky areas.
So, even within the same neighborhood, the result reflects a disparity between properties at different elevations or flood risk levels. Homes situated on higher ground or with flood mitigation features can command significant premiums. On the other hand, those in lower-lying areas may find it difficult to maintain value or find buyers willing to accept the risk.

Case Studies: Markets in Transition

Research demonstrated the effect of “climate gentrification”. This term shows how communities are displaced by climate change and are reorganized by wealth and people. Miami and South Florida represent the changes in climate-driven real estate.
Specifically, Miami Beach has invested hundreds of millions of dollars in raising roads and installing pumps. This is how they combat regular flooding. Higher-elevation properties appreciate faster, in contrast with waterfront properties. Buyers strategically use elevation maps along with school districts and commute times.
New Orleans is positioned below sea level and faces challenges due to subsidence. The city experienced population shifts toward higher ground neighborhoods, which affected local real estate markets. The tropical cyclone Katrina in 2005 prompted post-hurricane reconstruction that highlighted the city’s vulnerability, and property values in flood-prone areas remain lower than pre-storm levels.
The Hurricane Sandy in 2012 was a wake-up call for New York City. The disaster caused a hefty amount of billions in damages. This has changed the city’s perceptions of climate risk. Since then, the city has implemented extensive coastal protection measures. Nevertheless, properties in flood zones face ongoing insurance challenges and stricter building requirements that increase development costs.
Coastal markets in California face distinct climate challenges. This includes coastal erosion, wildfire risk, and drought. Some oceanfront properties are tragically disappearing as cliffs erode. These risks became a significant factor for pricing, particularly for properties that lack modern resilience features.
Interestingly, there are international examples that provide additional perspective. Cities like Jakarta, Amsterdam, and Venice are good representations of this. These places have built water management challenges for decades and have been developing innovative approaches that offer lessons for U.S. markets.

How Stakeholders are Adapting

In response to climate risks, investors are adjusting their strategies. Some are skipping from vulnerable coastal properties. Others are eyeing climate resilience investments, specifically purchasing properties with plans to implement elevation, flood barriers, or other protective measures. The value is increasing in properties that combine coastal access with climate safety, such as those at higher elevations with water views.
Property owners are perplexed about whether to stay, invest in resilience upgrades, or relocate. Those who remain must invest on installing flood barriers, elevating utilities, using water-resistant materials, and landscaping for better drainage. Although these require significant financing, these improvements can preserve the property’s value and reduce insurance costs.
To develop the coastal areas, green building certifications and sustainability features are increasingly standard. Developers are incorporating climate considerations into new projects, building at higher elevations, and using resilient construction methods.

Practical Steps for Buyers and Owners

Climate impacts are inevitable and will continually evolve over the next 10, 20, or 30 years. Within the timeline of homeownership or investment, choices of making adaptation and resilience are crucial factors in protecting value.
Those who consider coastal real estate should conduct thorough climate risk assessments. If you are one, a review of the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) Flood Maps is a helpful guide to floodplain management regulations. Understanding elevation related to projected sea level rise is also advisable, along with regularly checking historical flooding data, and researching local climate adaptation plans.
Before purchasing, it is strategic to investigate insurance availability and costs by obtaining flood insurance quotes. This is available in the National Flood Insurance Program and from private insurers. This can help calculate availability costs.
For property owners, it is wise to be resilient and upgrade, as it can protect both property and value. To further reduce damage risk and potentially lower insurance premiums, it is sensible to elevate structures, install backflow preventers, improve drainage, and employ flood-resistant materials.

The coastal real estate markets will remain desirable for their lifestyle benefits, yet prices are increasingly affected by environmental realities. Understanding climate risks is no longer an option. Adapting and investing in resilient protection to combat the disaster of climate change is a necessity to make wise decisions in protecting the future of properties and communities.

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